Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7163f98615e577c3220ce47ea37460a544b52384194495f319d5ab943aabfc75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 62c | 48,419$30,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,019.86 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 40c | 25,025$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,015.2 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 38c | 23,363$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,485.01 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 60c | 16,457$9,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,873.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 38c | 15,345$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,576.9 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 38c | 13,208$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,179.89 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 40c | 11,000$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 57c | 7,871$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.1 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 60c | 5,780$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…b6ccbacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +329.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 9c | 3,666$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.39 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 38c | 3,490$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 38c | 2,446$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.62 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 51c | 2,430$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.96 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 63c | 2,176$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 38c | 1,966$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,796$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.21 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,706$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.79 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…2233backed Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 1,580$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 39c | 1,469$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.9 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed No | 78c | 1,402$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.66 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 25c | 1,288$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 62c | 1,283$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 39c | 1,154$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 59c | 1,100$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 1,022$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed No | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 40c | 875.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked No | 36c | 869.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…e3babacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 63c | 800$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 37c | 793.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 62c | 749.39$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 53c | 662.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 42c | 632.6$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.32 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 45c | 623$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 63c | 604.79$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.02 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 39c | 599.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.96 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 27c | 548$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 70c | 538.74$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 61c | 522.15$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 30c | 513.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f34cbacked Yes | 64c | 494.13$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 37c | 409$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 10c | 399$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.84 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…d5dbbacked Yes | 55c | 362.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 30c | 356.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 43c | 351.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 19c | 340$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 63c | 330$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 12c | 318.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed Yes | 62c | 309.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…d63bbacked Yes | 63c | 273.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 37c | 272.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…1669backed Yes | 63c | 271.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 269.35$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…01a0backed Yes | 38c | 261.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 36c | 260$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Yes | 52c | 258.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 63c | 246.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 225.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 64c | 219.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…cf08backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…ae62backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 52c | 198.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 64c | 179.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…e51ebacked Yes | 62c | 176.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 47c | 174.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…e9eabacked No | 37c | 172.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe789…41e6backed Yes | 42c | 172.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 163.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 65c | 162.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.