Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2965468acccafbd769725ce0ff37ac6645a15c8b68df7f564127e2b676ed1fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Yes | 15c | 8,100$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 9c | 2,888$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 30c | 2,491$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.68 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,212$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 2,199$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 25c | 1,976$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,953$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 16c | 1,808$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed No | 65c | 999.82$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 77c | 657.71$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 16c | 625.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 15c | 589.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 18c | 553.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 35c | 521.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 62c | 400$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…51dfbacked Yes | 56c | 376.52$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 34c | 350.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 36c | 312.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 60c | 308.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 17c | 294.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 31c | 289$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f34cbacked Yes | 43c | 275.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…3d5fbacked No | 72c | 263.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 15c | 254.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 16c | 155.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 7c | 146.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 131.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…008cbacked Yes | 16c | 122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked No | 42c | 113.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…301fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 17c | 101.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…b5f4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…0baabacked Yes | 33c | 83.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 63c | 79.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…a0c5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 33c | 57.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…b985backed Yes | 35c | 52.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 42c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…e878backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed No | 59c | 32.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 38c | 26.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…521cbacked No | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…6cbebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?No won
- Will Fulham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.