Champions League · resolved market
Juventus vs. Manchester City: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f5cfd0c99b800b7c4c0a6ea4a0773b39325ae48af23b29fb60b388675e4022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 18,589$9,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,079.37 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 52c | 16,085$8,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,656.07 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 46c | 9,315$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.01 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 50c | 6,578$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 50c | 5,952$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.08 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 47c | 2,416$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.72 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Yes | 54c | 2,340$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 53c | 1,958$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.66 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 53c | 1,243$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…fe58backed Yes | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 53c | 947.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.17 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 53c | 850.94$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.94 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 49c | 505.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 53c | 437.79$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 47c | 352.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 50c | 286.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 53c | 280.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…4524backed Yes | 54c | 170.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 168.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 53c | 161.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…ee6abacked Yes | 50c | 113.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed No | 32c | 108.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…b6b1backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Yes | 53c | 103.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…d312backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…edaebacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…5f39backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…b1f2backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed Yes | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c2…c378backed No | 49c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.