Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe04f881d5ecaeb20e1f50a9224374840e736af1db0393398fdf8d2158908c15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 65c | 994.31$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 33c | 986.93$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.24 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 41c | 747.61$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 66c | 599.61$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 72c | 485.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 58c | 470.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 56c | 447.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 67c | 399.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.69 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 76c | 370.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 32c | 299.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…c111backed No | 33c | 287.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 77c | 278.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 36c | 269.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 67c | 249$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 37c | 216.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…6509backed No | 49c | 204.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…6031backed No | 74c | 184$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 40c | 183.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 7c | 183.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 67c | 167.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 164.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…9422backed Yes | 47c | 135.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…8cd6backed No | 44c | 134.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 50c | 122.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 35c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…4c94backed Yes | 43c | 92.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 38c | 83.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 37c | 80.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 80.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…5ad4backed No | 60c | 78.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…9719backed Yes | 66c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 68c | 65.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 57c | 64.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 63.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…f301backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…cc83backed No | 47c | 53.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 23c | 53.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 46c | 52.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 46.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 45.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 43c | 41.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked No | 37c | 40.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…a22bbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…232bbacked No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 55c | 37.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9861…1603backed Yes | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…26abbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…807cbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…3bc1backed Yes | 67c | 29.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd6…ad9cbacked Yes | 63c | 27.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…0514backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…cc0dbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…f9e9backed No | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…0966backed Yes | 63c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…a719backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8bb2backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…3761backed Yes | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…7cdbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…bc9dbacked No | 77c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.