TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No17c52,951$9,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,124.4739842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed No62c33,955$21,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,056.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No61c27,497$16,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,793.945463%34 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0007042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No61c17,020$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,349.9417053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes38c5,847$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.3721037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes37c4,259$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.3220667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No27c4,124$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.0536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes49c4,115$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.3525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Yes38c3,605$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes38c2,753$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.5840222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes39c2,566$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.6812333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No60c2,029$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.168748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes37c2,019$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…eebabacked Yes38c1,763$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes79c1,613$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.28875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes62c1,610$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.058345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes38c1,152$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3115250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes64c1,025$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3371…18d5backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e6…801bbacked Yes38c810.66$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49613847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No27c793.29$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8424252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.471747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x550a…3392backed Yes38c692.47$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes38c692.29$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2210717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85cc…2b10backed Yes52c666.52$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No62c653.69$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.432166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c653.08$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes38c644.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes38c628.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3722433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.325149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…dc53backed Yes38c511.95$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31511735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes36c492.5$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.24436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No62c481.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.418350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes36c442.94$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.942152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+82.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes38c442.11$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.112050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x267a…425dbacked Yes60c366.67$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No70c356.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cba…1d68backed Yes39c355.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3328639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes38c328.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xedc0…8a23backed Yes29c308.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No63c300.41$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2611548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes34c300$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1971747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No63c299.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No63c290.86$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab33…7d21backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick22cpaid+503.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes37c258.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Yes38c244.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes38c232.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x929e…1935backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes38c221.32$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.221729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes38c220.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.614829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No64c208$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.83655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12218650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12424455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12412956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes40c185.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.763129%9 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e0…2b21backed Yes29c182.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+136.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes24c182.18$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4613232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes38c171.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c171$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4517466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes39c169.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.236747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.162218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+189.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f06…6203backed Yes38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.854158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa8…8f99backed Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00d…b5a9backed Yes31c145.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+138.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes37c142.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.553033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes37c135$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32dc…51abbacked Yes37c132.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes31c131.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.56028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f9…44a4backed Yes31c129.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes37c129.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick28cpaid+217.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes41c123.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.172142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes50c123.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.127460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c88…6871backed Yes37c122.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes68c111$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.523161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.311145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624235.7%15 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a4…7069backed No63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No21c95.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4617348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes55c95.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes39c89.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.684751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes38c81.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.278433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes62c80.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.953735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.