CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79d2864c6bfe03ab919ffd679a2e31ea8218686d63b2d0b12fa24525054ad21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof The MongolZ, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 44,390$19,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,261.73 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 37,327$16,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,370.68 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…b27ebacked The MongolZ | 58c | 27,742$16,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,086.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed The MongolZ | 59c | 13,482$7,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.65 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,669.99 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 10,388$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed The MongolZ | 35c | 7,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked The MongolZ | 60c | 6,651$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fa…29cbbacked The MongolZ | 52c | 5,259$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed The MongolZ | 3c | 5,154$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed The MongolZ | 63c | 4,222$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.64 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked The MongolZ | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed The MongolZ | 57c | 3,466$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 3,447$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.51 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,255$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.92 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked The MongolZ | 59c | 2,590$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed The MongolZ | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed The MongolZ | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 1,997$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.62 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,985$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.73 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,837$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.32 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,834$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.37 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked The MongolZ | 58c | 1,775$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.75 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc305…b143backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,771$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,660$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,564$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.49 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,437$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,379$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,220$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.07 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,175$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed The MongolZ | 54c | 1,160$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.54 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,067$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.04 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,050$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked The MongolZ | 57c | 964.6$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.82 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed The MongolZ | 53c | 960.37$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.58 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…bb5ebacked The MongolZ | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed The MongolZ | 45c | 914.77$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed The MongolZ | 53c | 905.6$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 902.81$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.6 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed The MongolZ | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed The MongolZ | 57c | 886.32$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 835.81$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.77 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed The MongolZ | 49c | 823.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed The MongolZ | 56c | 798.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.43 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 793.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed The MongolZ | 48c | 792.09$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed The MongolZ | 57c | 790.53$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 783.77$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.91 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed The MongolZ | 65c | 767.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 731.36$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.76 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 687.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed The MongolZ | 58c | 663.85$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.03 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed The MongolZ | 49c | 653.02$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked The MongolZ | 34c | 650$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked The MongolZ | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked The MongolZ | 46c | 595.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…44a0backed The MongolZ | 59c | 562$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed The MongolZ | 36c | 548.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 37c | 535.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed The MongolZ | 57c | 532.77$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.68 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed The MongolZ | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c8dbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ | 54c | 500$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked The MongolZ | 73c | 486.43$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 483.07$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 478$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked The MongolZ | 51c | 458.7$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…301ebacked The MongolZ | 20c | 452.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed The MongolZ | 15c | 449.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed The MongolZ | 57c | 449.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…1ac6backed The MongolZ | 58c | 415$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed The MongolZ | 46c | 410$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed The MongolZ | 43c | 402.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ | 57c | 398.8$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ | 57c | 394.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…3daabacked The MongolZ | 34c | 393.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 387.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 378.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…eadebacked The MongolZ | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 349.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 341.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…1c29backed The MongolZ | 40c | 340.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed The MongolZ | 57c | 340$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked The MongolZ | 48c | 325.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed The MongolZ | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked The MongolZ | 35c | 284.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 279.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed The MongolZ | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 261.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…cbf7backed The MongolZ | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…f522backed The MongolZ | 56c | 251.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked The MongolZ | 63c | 250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed The MongolZ | 10c | 238.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.