TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9055…756abacked Yes47c4,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1301872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No32c3,931$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.5821037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No24c3,420$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3839842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No31c3,214$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.287346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes67c1,903$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.792433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes65c1,724$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.471656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes65c1,658$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.285463%34 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No31c1,327$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.47460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes66c1,311$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6923352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No32c1,242$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0417053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes69c1,197$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.073243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes65c999.98$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.993174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No11c855.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2125735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes45c833$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.1513232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes58c787.85$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No32c776.86$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.624742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes61c763.82$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8915250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89e3…6396backed No63c608.67$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No29c599.96$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes63c511.41$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.226735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes64c414.8$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.331233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes76c380$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.222647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No35c342.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed No66c321.23$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c308.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8220667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x039a…e3a0backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes77c270.87$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.023145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.518650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8524455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No35c231.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes41c230$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.13537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.592653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8b…425cbacked Yes69c204.26$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes78c159.53$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.814351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No32c158.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.562166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes68c156.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.111145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes67c147.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7922054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No32c124.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes41c111$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.493161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes71c101.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.183135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes67c81.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes65c79.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes68c78.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1213139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf784…f897backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed Yes68c63.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57266.7%48 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe187…9676backed Yes68c46.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Yes68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8d…185fbacked Yes68c43.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes63c40.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes71c38.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2c…9cadbacked Yes68c35.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed Yes69c34.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No30c33.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1179…710bbacked Yes66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.855429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed Yes68c29.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbd…8cb1backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…c301backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbed…13a9backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes72c28.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6454…76ebbacked Yes68c27.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.733562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b04…b373backed Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+82.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f0…a651backed Yes69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a3…900abacked Yes68c21.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.87875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes48c21.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.033531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629a…b9d6backed Yes65c17.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+194.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…2339backed Yes68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…3a50backed Yes67c15.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.