Champions League · resolved market
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7a38f721e1cd62e2818c1821e66454a368390ba9bce5b6765746cdf1ef6fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4073…f770backed Yes | 40c | 7,315$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 60c | 7,139$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.81 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,029$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.95 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 4,833$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.38 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed No | 63c | 2,373$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 60c | 2,340$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.19 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,240$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 57c | 2,192$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.74 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed No | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 38c | 1,640$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.68 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 41c | 1,550$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.49 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Yes | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…6455backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 61c | 864.07$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 37c | 820.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b37cbacked No | 60c | 705$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 488.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 72c | 447.38$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 41c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…633bbacked Yes | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…be28backed No | 60c | 295$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Yes | 41c | 277$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 39c | 254.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Yes | 42c | 227$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 42c | 219.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Yes | 42c | 205$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 30c | 168.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked No | 60c | 166.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed No | 61c | 148.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 70c | 145$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…d4cbbacked Yes | 42c | 141.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 39c | 122.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…6b01backed No | 59c | 121$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 39c | 88.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 41c | 68.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked No | 59c | 68.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdb…88c5backed Yes | 37c | 65.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 62c | 60.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…c406backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed No | 79c | 38.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 35c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…915dbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…0dd4backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…7aa8backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed No | 60c | 26.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed No | 61c | 21.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed No | 61c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.