TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x762e…4bf0backed No55c43,743$24,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,1705752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes45c31,586$14,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,305.5413857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x922f…3baabacked No54c8,780$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c8,268$4,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.4330851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes44c8,033$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498.4279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ab…9b1fbacked Yes49c6,107$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes47c3,190$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.541855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes44c2,497$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.4149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7adc…9856backed Yes79c2,273$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No10c1,962$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes47c1,887$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.114736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.0824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No27c1,718$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No54c1,690$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.1990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes45c1,620$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.5221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c1,589$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Yes46c1,519$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6369148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a91…9e12backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No53c870.82$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5313829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c853.89$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd2…ee29backed Yes47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84c…208cbacked No57c840$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42c…df2dbacked Yes48c814.85$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.72333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yes44c705.68$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.182850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No65c700$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No52c699.98$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.995550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes49c683.08$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.082634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad2…28a4backed Yes46c669.54$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50a5…88a6backed No54c518.89$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9919735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes46c463.04$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.046939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No61c258.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9728355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb724…fff6backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x965e…0062backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes46c219.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.811252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6539…b05abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…84f7backed No56c204.88$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ae…41d0backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed No59c191.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.625853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes47c186.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.211540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes45c181.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa32e…8084backed No57c176.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed No55c162.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d19…57eabacked No57c155$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb189…f608backed No56c145.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36da…8adfbacked Yes45c139.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6b…5dc4backed Yes46c138.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df3…1291backed Yes46c122.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+97.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37dc…2c06backed Yes48c112.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc516…5f28backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381040%4 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1739561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes44c104$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea51…55bebacked Yes48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa254…40a6backed Yes48c103.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc64d…f868backed Yes45c101.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd2…a281backed No53c100.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb393…f733backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes43c99.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0c…f457backed No53c94.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6c…cee2backed Yes48c93.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ec…153bbacked Yes45c93.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.34560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No54c92.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2126247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67cb…11cdbacked No54c92.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…0a04backed No54c92.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb19…e5a0backed No54c90.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2848…6315backed No54c90.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb5…539cbacked No57c88.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x358a…6d19backed Yes48c84.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes43c82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d27…f6cfbacked Yes48c79.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb2d…0ab6backed Yes47c78.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+98.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e1…f482backed Yes45c77.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4645…7cddbacked Yes45c77.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f82…8e5dbacked No57c75.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9071…e8cdbacked No56c74.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc0…7afebacked Yes46c73.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…c49cbacked No56c71.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7c…66ebbacked Yes45c71.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef0…657ebacked Yes46c70.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes40c67.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48ae…46d6backed No56c66.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes46c65.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.536051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd922…6ec0backed No57c64.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c36…be27backed No56c61.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2770…275ebacked Yes45c57.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.