Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd348eb6fba9dc40050ba12112747e0c9a500d98fad3795d2527f083ee088e5e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 31c | 8,150$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 68c | 6,030$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.68 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.96 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 3,050$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 1,378$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.05 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 939.55$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.46 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 33c | 910.88$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.66 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 31c | 804.5$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 713.7$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 69c | 703.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 602.13$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 574.24$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 540.41$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked Yes | 28c | 504.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 70c | 485.96$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 29c | 460$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 72c | 349.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 18c | 299.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 75c | 252.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Yes | 28c | 192.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 28c | 189.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 28c | 182.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 29c | 179.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…28a4backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 80c | 114.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 29c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 28c | 79.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 69c | 68.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…495dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…735abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…c236backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…641bbacked Yes | 32c | 49.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 33.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6c72backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…2297backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…bbefbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.