Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981e51884c20c7c89386c68c9094fbcbc1f4e694d750257cd6c77d3b6e3bd8a7

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 30, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,988 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	37c	10,004$3,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,681.42	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes	36c	9,379$3,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,367.36	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	66c	6,730$4,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,289.32	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	33c	6,033$2,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,018.56	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No	64c	5,741$3,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,066.72	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	63c	5,639$3,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,092.5	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No	67c	4,500$3,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	64c	3,267$2,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.81	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0939…9a00backed Yes	36c	2,212$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.99	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Yes	36c	1,831$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.2	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked No	63c	1,447$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.39	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	8c	1,287$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0692…10fbbacked Yes	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.19per pick	40cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked No	65c	834.28$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	61cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No	64c	783.86$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.19	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…6e7abacked Yes	8c	599.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1577…8949backed No	65c	594.59$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.11	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-5.1wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No	64c	500.06$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.02	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	409.75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes	4c	399.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	90	27.8%25 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No	66c	378.79$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes	28c	351.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	63c	334.41$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.07	166	60.8%101 W · 65 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	34c	301.56$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.53	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No	65c	299.98$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.99	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	60cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Yes	36c	294.36$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-5.9wins	-0.22per pick	48cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Yes	36c	277.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74be…4e55backed No	67c	270$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.1	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+76.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Yes	36c	246.12$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-4.1wins	-0.51per pick	64cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes	37c	243.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-6.0wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No	66c	229.48$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.02	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-4.4wins	-0.17per pick	71cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked No	65c	229.23$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.23	113	53.1%60 W · 53 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No	64c	209.99$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.6	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	37c	204.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Yes	30c	201.35$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked Yes	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…06f1backed No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	64c	171$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes	11c	170.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed Yes	34c	170.59$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…38b4backed Yes	36c	166.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No	67c	164$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.12	182	60.4%110 W · 72 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc483…2fe7backed No	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed No	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cda…5d81backed Yes	36c	139.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b6…3809backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes	35c	128.57$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yes	34c	125.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-45%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	64c	118$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.94	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes	34c	117.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-9.0wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No	65c	116.92$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.92	126	50%63 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Yes	36c	110.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.66	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No	80c	110$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed No	65c	107.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed No	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0795…be42backed Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4782…6435backed Yes	36c	97.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf097…b7d1backed Yes	37c	84.43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…ff3abacked Yes	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9848…e696backed No	65c	83.08$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	35c	80$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	119	15.1%18 W · 101 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes	35c	74.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x692e…1c78backed Yes	37c	72.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	36c	72.09$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes	37c	71.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes	15c	70.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	+5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed Yes	36c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7040…7ee6backed Yes	34c	69.94$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	60c	69.42$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.54	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8008…05febacked No	64c	67.63$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…30c4backed No	65c	61.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	51cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed51…9147backed Yes	34c	61.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c54…99a4backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.28per pick	51cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d40…5cacbacked No	65c	58.46$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f71…2a4abacked Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…848ebacked Yes	35c	56.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No	65c	56.27$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884a…4589backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	36.5%57 W · 99 L	-11.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed No	65c	53.85$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.85	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed No	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	160	60%96 W · 64 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked No	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+77%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfc…0643backed Yes	37c	45.78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9917…4976backed No	65c	44.31$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.51	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-53%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?this page
Will Manchester United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event