La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc7f84d1e04336042dd821b28088eef0642065d96e813d716a6a4c91dd494b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 27c | 9,259$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 6,948$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 6,277$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 25c | 5,860$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 74c | 5,448$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.51 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 23c | 4,615$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.4 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 74c | 4,065$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 3,171$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.24 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,099$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.75 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 2,644$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 73c | 2,469$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.63 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 1,438$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.26 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 1,433$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 73c | 1,427$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 73c | 1,285$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 1,202$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,167$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.76 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 72c | 890.21$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Yes | 28c | 890.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 752.26$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 79c | 644.44$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 74c | 629$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 504.5$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 25c | 406.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 26c | 382.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 25c | 333.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 25c | 333.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…08b0backed Yes | 9c | 218.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 188$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 178.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 23c | 167$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 157$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 25c | 141.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…3e36backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 8c | 127.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 26c | 117.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked No | 77c | 101.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 76c | 75.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 61.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 36.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 75c | 22.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-08-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.