La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05a2f8d1e3d15bf55e8adafb28a0da50c933bbdbfb21a992daf865b5f310ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked Yes | 42c | 71,623$30,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,541.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 42c | 62,364$26,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,171.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 58c | 46,080$26,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,726.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 58c | 33,714$19,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,483.22 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 58c | 6,618$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.44 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 44c | 5,711$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 5c | 2,958$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 63c | 2,855$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.79 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 2,823$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.35 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 2,463$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.18 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 1,927$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.81 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 58c | 1,666$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 29c | 1,543$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 1,359$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.98 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 42c | 1,181$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.83 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 1,151$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.53 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 1,042$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.75 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 927$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 42c | 900.03$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.02 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 21c | 899.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 58c | 683.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 42c | 664.31$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.43 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 16c | 600$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 43c | 467.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 46c | 446.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 411.83$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 72c | 399$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 42c | 384.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 58c | 319.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 318$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 57c | 254$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 59c | 187.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 182$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 56c | 146$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 143$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 140.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 46c | 140.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 72c | 139.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 41c | 93.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 58c | 61.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 42c | 53.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 42.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 56c | 34.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Yes | 73c | 34.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…c2edbacked Yes | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…a3ecbacked Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…f053backed Yes | 72c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…e912backed Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…06d2backed Yes | 74c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?No won
- Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.