Fifa International · resolved market
Will France beat Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a4eb2a74d8a280d794c9dd857f80cbe112b3e3e10d5d41df75d038b4f783a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 17,686$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.44 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 63c | 14,021$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 45c | 12,813$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,737.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 63c | 7,243$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.27 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 1c | 6,581$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…8e9ebacked Yes | 37c | 6,571$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 62c | 6,400$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.7 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 37c | 5,443$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 37c | 5,408$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…9351backed Yes | 65c | 3,861$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 65c | 3,419$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.22 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 36c | 3,219$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 80c | 3,211$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 63c | 3,165$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.65 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,716$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.7 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 37c | 2,426$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 20c | 2,300$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,622$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.39 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed Yes | 62c | 1,618$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 61c | 1,616$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.02 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 62c | 1,609$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.07 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,541$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 65c | 1,530$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Yes | 37c | 1,457$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…1d8cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 39c | 1,351$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 62c | 1,282$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 36c | 1,043$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.76 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 35c | 979.38$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 35c | 978$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 969.18$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.37 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 36c | 949.28$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…45e9backed Yes | 39c | 898.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 69c | 857$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.67 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 37c | 815.27$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 12c | 773$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…bb99backed Yes | 35c | 755$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 29c | 724.72$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 35c | 701.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 37c | 649.49$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 63c | 647$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…dc8fbacked No | 65c | 555$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…637cbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…df92backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9217backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 39c | 507.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…aebebacked No | 65c | 445$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked Yes | 62c | 405.77$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…e674backed Yes | 56c | 373.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Yes | 36c | 345.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 63c | 336.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 315.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 293.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 37c | 291.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b9b3backed Yes | 37c | 272.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 67c | 259$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 39c | 255.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 42c | 253.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 61c | 244.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 51c | 243.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 39c | 241.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebec…66a1backed Yes | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…d1f0backed Yes | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 61c | 172.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 46c | 162.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 46c | 161.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 35c | 152.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 37c | 150.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…4f61backed Yes | 37c | 136.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…1895backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…6cb8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…f499backed Yes | 37c | 134.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 39c | 130$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 37c | 129.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 64c | 128.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 37c | 121.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France beat Germany?this page
- Will Germany beat France?No won
- Will Germany vs. France end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.