TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$344,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$380,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea40…05a7backed Yes43c124,980$53,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,238.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7571…1e8ebacked No57c112,500$64,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,12510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…68dcbacked No56c43,051$24,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,127.871050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes43c17,924$7,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,216.765141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…8449backed No57c15,880$9,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,051.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes45c15,849$7,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,696.685641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes76c15,202$11,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.5814732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53f…8707backed No57c12,480$7,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,113.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No57c11,214$6,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,390.6414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes43c11,128$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,342.8318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No55c9,159$5,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,030.919754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No5c8,553$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.793910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes45c8,456$3,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.4217234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes45c5,556$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.569235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes44c5,227$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.2711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No55c5,092$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.822653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a83…8015backed Yes43c4,309$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c4,033$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.6879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58f…8f9ebacked No58c3,750$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fc…66f0backed No57c3,661$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes45c3,628$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.191952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…edb1backed No57c3,580$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c8…d7c6backed No57c3,444$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ce…c1fbbacked No58c3,441$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe431…6e63backed No58c3,375$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No37c2,751$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.457458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes43c2,583$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.317837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes57c2,398$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.4514156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes45c1,778$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.783228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes59c1,500$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.888453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2213…c3ecbacked Yes43c1,286$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…3f0abacked Yes44c1,275$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d72…9402backed Yes44c1,244$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes47c1,235$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.092751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4b…9c7abacked Yes44c1,231$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x512c…fdcfbacked Yes44c1,206$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff33…91c4backed Yes44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ba…98a3backed Yes44c1,193$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ae…9d78backed Yes44c1,187$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x841f…1711backed Yes44c1,182$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c26…2279backed Yes45c1,166$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5eb…d4abbacked Yes45c1,162$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d7…c9c2backed Yes46c1,152$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa16…8036backed Yes45c1,150$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a2…b7d1backed Yes46c1,137$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e9…78f0backed Yes45c1,133$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1209…d64dbacked Yes45c1,131$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…5eefbacked Yes45c1,127$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb14f…fe08backed Yes45c1,112$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No57c1,068$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.266167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c1,027$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes44c1,019$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.4832737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes43c927.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4312053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c880$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No55c859.98$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.5919735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes44c696.44$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.581050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes44c679.55$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.558742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes44c613.64$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.6410445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No57c499.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9934643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…3399backed Yes44c479$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1211855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.555358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes44c450.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1411638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes42c396.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No54c358.56$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No56c355$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.85444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No60c320.89$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes45c305.23$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17111761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes40c300$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1799355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c260$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c255.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No23c247.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5613449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d9…76f3backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.566944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes44c229.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.656741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked No56c227.3$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.293339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3091…a2a9backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.279037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2714953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2711052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36a8…8718backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…72f9backed No57c201.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…7a14backed Yes44c200.18$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd46…4b28backed Yes45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes44c196.73$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes61c195.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.296177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No57c186$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.029756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked No8c183.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.687159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Yes44c160.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.