Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb11d09dd2c5ffff744e6c0ee67d1d00ca6ebbd388de4fa0a3d3d4d09c935e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 72c | 154,000$110,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…b194backed Yes | 28c | 154,000$43,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…5653backed No | 73c | 10,036$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…2128backed Yes | 27c | 10,033$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…c97bbacked Yes | 27c | 9,998$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…4608backed No | 73c | 9,993$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 2,696$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.46 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 28c | 1,069$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 73c | 993.18$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 950.8$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…43fbbacked Yes | 27c | 829.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 65c | 791.41$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 72c | 777$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 31c | 645.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 73c | 638.36$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 66c | 441$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 8c | 416.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 28c | 356.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 350$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 321.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 80c | 314.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 79c | 251.11$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 243.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2590backed Yes | 28c | 232.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 27c | 159.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 73c | 142.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 17c | 109.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Yes | 29c | 105.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…41f9backed No | 74c | 97.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 28c | 93.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 28c | 91.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…2d14backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…6154backed No | 74c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45f…1a1abacked No | 74c | 73.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…bfccbacked No | 74c | 70.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…80a4backed No | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…ca52backed Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 67c | 35.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…e86fbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…b8a9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.