TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73cb…b0d0backed No54c29,315$15,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,831.242653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No55c16,911$9,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,320.045747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Yes46c16,087$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,686.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No16c14,082$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.7714732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes46c7,001$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.941353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No27c6,172$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.6479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No57c6,070$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.972733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes45c6,031$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.925641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes44c5,507$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.199754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes46c5,244$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.2218433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No27c5,141$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.7138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No14c5,140$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.2456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No32c4,165$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.877458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No10c3,281$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.063910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes46c3,152$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.174339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes45c2,462$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.7127024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No56c2,385$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.583333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c2,230$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.9640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c2,105$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.8190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1008045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Yes44c1,997$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.121947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d2…1c50backed Yes46c1,986$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6a…0b81backed Yes63c1,571$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes45c1,537$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.376137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c1,300$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2774…07dfbacked Yes45c1,134$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.382352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes44c1,126$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.2629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes76c1,112$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.571258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes45c1,110$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.351070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes51c1,079$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.6269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked No7c1,005$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.66323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No54c926$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes45c825.47$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4732737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No55c809.15$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9416660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No49c713$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.3736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No14c675.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.866023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes44c591.16$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.163161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed No16c576.46$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c556$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed Yes44c542.68$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No57c542.5$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.85444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No55c538.29$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.062937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No17c527.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed No57c521.42$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f6…d17dbacked Yes44c499.25$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked No56c455.86$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5511342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.554148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.556944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No55c408.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5517447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x291f…dc62backed No57c401.21$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22421153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.228453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed No57c386.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x965e…0062backed Yes52c381.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadff…e3f3backed Yes44c364.84$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.311741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Yes44c361.25$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No59c355$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f9…d2a7backed Yes44c353.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Yes75c319.63$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.24055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Yes46c273.07$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes53c266.39$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8813336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes43c260$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.214049.3%69 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9593…5432backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa303…6933backed Yes68c251.56$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.571833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Yes45c246.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945c…a489backed Yes42c237.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed No56c227.64$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.276737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb60…09bdbacked Yes44c226.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…8efbbacked Yes45c224.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes45c223.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes45c222.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.142751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df8…5332backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes45c209.24$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.376177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8b…449bbacked Yes45c198.04$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No43c189.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.18047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf663…29b2backed No57c173.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked No56c169.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No58c169$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.022962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No49c162$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3814062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes51c162$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.385547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x550d…6e19backed Yes44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd327…c74bbacked Yes45c152.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840e…40fabacked No57c149.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.02850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.