TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes20c11,026$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2509235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes9c6,485$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.5479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No68c5,980$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.1614659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes13c5,800$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.8814732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c5,117$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.0379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9918433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf719…987abacked Yes24c4,200$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes4c3,838$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No68c3,618$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14624566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No69c3,528$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.829754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c3,050$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.4968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes31c2,657$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.6532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No79c2,280$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.767458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes32c1,568$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes13c1,520$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No68c1,499$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.6916660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes5c1,491$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No67c1,488$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No71c1,413$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes33c1,325$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.412037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes32c1,323$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.593119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Yes5c1,320$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes14c1,208$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Yes18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No69c1,024$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed No69c1,002$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9610445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes32c1,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31517945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes9c950$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes30c914.32$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.992744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes6c900$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes15c843.59$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.547241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c762.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No70c720$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2164035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…36cbbacked No70c622.57$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes33c599$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes32c575.94$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.617447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No72c553.54$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes30c545.6$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.688825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes33c480$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d9…ef73backed No71c478.87$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.875100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+184.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7d7…bcb6backed No69c468.25$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No69c454.35$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.162653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4e…1370backed No67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked No70c449.93$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No69c436.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes29c424.4$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.085747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes31c423.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.165349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes19c395.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb474…a4bcbacked No67c393.59$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.881877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed No70c385.86$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed No68c369.43$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.223652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1656…dd47backed Yes6c359.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes7c358.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.693545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes33c355.85$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11622932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes30c350$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No71c346.14$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.385253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes28c346.11$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No72c346.11$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.915131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes31c345.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa31f…0290backed Yes32c340.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes24c333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9214062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b29…d9f6backed Yes30c330.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863a…2b7bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c301.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…44d5backed Yes34c272.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No65c248.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0117837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d9…45cabacked Yes34c245.74$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x582e…5087backed No71c208.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-71.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f97…a8f5backed Yes31c202.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ab…0011backed No71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd71…c879backed Yes30c195$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No70c194.29$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2929751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c0…0305backed Yes12c193.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes33c183.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No68c169.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.959756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c9…0594backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+114.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd2…8759backed No67c141.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x807b…89b7backed Yes31c132.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.062634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes31c130.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe514…2c62backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes33c113.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.511040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf805…8adbbacked No67c110.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce62…73d5backed Yes23c103.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.845032%16 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb978…a2a0backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes30c99.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70d5…3f12backed No66c98.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.