Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2778416f2b66b83f069f5056d3877b60dee2f96decc36511e62e5e2f13c4846b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0b9…cbacbacked No | 43c | 34,760$14,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,946.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…7214backed Yes | 57c | 32,270$18,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,876.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…c818backed Yes | 57c | 25,940$14,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,154.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…711ebacked No | 43c | 25,370$10,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,909.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed No | 42c | 17,887$7,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,532.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 41c | 10,825$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.2 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 44c | 6,655$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.68 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 57c | 4,638$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 58c | 4,343$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.22 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 48c | 4,100$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.91 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 49c | 3,685$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 63c | 3,335$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.25 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 3,206$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.71 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 58c | 3,008$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.18 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…7cb5backed No | 43c | 2,493$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…4831backed No | 43c | 2,465$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,114$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 58c | 1,979$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…d83abacked Yes | 57c | 1,960$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00d…610dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,846$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…090fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,837$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 58c | 1,718$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 58c | 1,677$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.97 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Yes | 58c | 1,339$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…f41cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 42c | 1,144$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.38 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 11c | 907.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 75c | 888$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 75c | 885.82$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…9143backed No | 43c | 845$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 833$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked No | 43c | 770$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Yes | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 80c | 684.75$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…72d4backed Yes | 57c | 565$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 59c | 506.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked Yes | 57c | 425$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…a6c3backed No | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…481ebacked No | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…7709backed Yes | 57c | 395$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…c2debacked Yes | 57c | 395$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2632backed Yes | 57c | 390$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…bdfebacked No | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 79c | 367.71$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 26c | 348.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…6724backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…3863backed No | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 280.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Yes | 76c | 268.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…db92backed No | 43c | 231.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2a20backed Yes | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Yes | 58c | 175.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 44c | 173.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 57c | 171.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…466cbacked Yes | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…602dbacked Yes | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…2353backed Yes | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…36e6backed Yes | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…f0e4backed Yes | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…d326backed Yes | 58c | 133.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…f34fbacked Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…b3f3backed Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…5f90backed Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…4932backed Yes | 59c | 127.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…1712backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked Yes | 57c | 124.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d0…2811backed No | 44c | 123.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…f856backed No | 44c | 120.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…18a6backed Yes | 58c | 119.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…4addbacked No | 44c | 118.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…b622backed No | 44c | 115.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…0084backed No | 44c | 114.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…0d41backed No | 43c | 114$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked No | 45c | 104.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…8fa6backed Yes | 57c | 104.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…dec6backed No | 44c | 103.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3330…1573backed Yes | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…6eb9backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2820…3d76backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…87fdbacked Yes | 57c | 94.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…0a26backed Yes | 58c | 94.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…bc07backed Yes | 58c | 92.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-16?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.