Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1864efd83d0c06a0d2336d229b6f5cfd99ec977871ca680defd5fde290f5b652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed No | 69c | 47,101$32,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,549.51 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 30c | 14,464$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.48 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 62c | 11,016$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.92 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 27c | 10,599$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.65 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b316backed Yes | 35c | 6,401$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 65c | 6,397$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 35c | 5,359$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.68 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 36c | 4,681$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 63c | 4,492$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 33c | 3,196$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 2,175$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.56 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes | 31c | 2,008$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 32c | 1,969$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.62 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 1,815$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.87 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 37c | 1,629$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 1,581$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 66c | 1,500$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 16c | 1,418$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 19c | 1,256$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.57 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 65c | 1,216$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.11 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 25c | 990.07$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 63c | 949.94$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 34c | 894.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 861.21$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…d3c4backed Yes | 36c | 830$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 27c | 732.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 66c | 636.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…0926backed No | 64c | 635$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 64c | 555.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 26c | 547.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 521.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…9eeebacked No | 64c | 475$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 35c | 463.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 36c | 425.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…c09cbacked No | 64c | 425$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…7b78backed Yes | 27c | 410.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…e92bbacked Yes | 27c | 388.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…3301backed Yes | 36c | 360$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…0c86backed No | 64c | 345$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 31c | 344.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 66c | 330.15$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…51abbacked Yes | 22c | 311.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed Yes | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 65c | 227.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 36c | 192.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Yes | 36c | 170.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…a12ebacked Yes | 34c | 157.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 62c | 155.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…1c65backed Yes | 37c | 144.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 36c | 141.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…6649backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…c7d9backed Yes | 37c | 136.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 134$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 38c | 123.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…8c33backed Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes | 9c | 113.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 63c | 101$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79fe…f453backed No | 65c | 95.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…e229backed No | 64c | 91.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…234ebacked No | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…feffbacked No | 64c | 79.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…0df9backed No | 65c | 76.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a90backed Yes | 34c | 75.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 72.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…3152backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 36c | 52.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.