Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb549977a13c343dad5bec3edb95319bcad8af8d65b738b122319d9f8eac669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc760…fc85backed No | 63c | 119,000$74,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,970 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97bb…f4b4backed Yes | 37c | 118,000$43,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…c743backed No | 62c | 79,814$49,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,592.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 36c | 22,714$8,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,536.99 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 55c | 13,766$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.89 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…bb5ebacked Yes | 40c | 8,270$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…1004backed No | 60c | 8,270$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 36c | 7,553$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.6 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 37c | 7,183$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 46c | 6,900$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked No | 64c | 6,738$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 48c | 6,277$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 36c | 5,072$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,462$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 38c | 3,736$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.08 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,380$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.45 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bebcbacked No | 63c | 3,280$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…1287backed Yes | 37c | 3,280$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 38c | 3,126$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.57 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 37c | 3,035$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.94 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 57c | 2,988$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.03 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 2,421$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Yes | 37c | 2,345$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 61c | 2,006$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.49 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…324dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed No | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed No | 60c | 1,660$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…a702backed Yes | 40c | 1,660$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 55c | 1,494$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.31 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 39c | 1,371$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.11 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 38c | 1,325$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.5 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 38c | 1,297$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.17 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 63c | 1,148$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ef09backed No | 63c | 999.96$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 64c | 971.46$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 53c | 941.15$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.21 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…602dbacked Yes | 37c | 655$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 38c | 610.53$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 37c | 587.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 36c | 571.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 41c | 526.31$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.32 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…3384backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 68c | 440$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…21fcbacked No | 63c | 425$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 36c | 407.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…c9a0backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 43c | 399.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 389.71$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…bc95backed No | 63c | 325$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked No | 63c | 316.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Yes | 59c | 296.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 38c | 271.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…f457backed No | 63c | 245.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed No | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…28b9backed Yes | 37c | 235$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…2514backed Yes | 78c | 222$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 37c | 218.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 38c | 197.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed No | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…a047backed Yes | 37c | 147.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…1090backed Yes | 37c | 139.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked No | 63c | 139.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…57d6backed Yes | 37c | 138.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…e4b4backed Yes | 38c | 131.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…2dc4backed Yes | 37c | 130.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…d9f3backed Yes | 37c | 129.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…6c3ebacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…6fe5backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 40c | 98.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…6babbacked Yes | 38c | 87.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…5615backed No | 63c | 85.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…a08fbacked Yes | 57c | 84.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…799abacked No | 64c | 84.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…8dcebacked No | 64c | 83.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…9336backed No | 63c | 82.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.