Us Politics · resolved market
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda84f0602e41eca6e97748d93108ca768ab9b13e827d49837cd2185c83af887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $856,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15d7…2921backed No | 0c | 82,212$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 31,891$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 2c | 25,743$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 1c | 25,556$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 3c | 21,130$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 3c | 19,527$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 15c | 18,415$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.87 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…8ceabacked Yes | 61c | 16,829$10,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,523.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 18c | 15,210$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 7c | 13,219$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.54 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 33c | 10,005$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.19 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 1c | 9,577$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 11c | 9,427$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.58 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 14c | 8,766$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.42 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 40c | 8,577$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.44 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 78c | 8,526$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 34c | 7,330$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.49 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed No | 18c | 5,437$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed No | 66c | 5,421$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 24c | 5,334$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.53 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 51c | 5,305$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.29 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb059…a79abacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,991$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.84 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 2c | 4,474$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 53c | 4,292$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…70febacked No | 38c | 4,279$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,525$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 43c | 3,472$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.44 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 18c | 3,315$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.57 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 4c | 3,307$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 13c | 3,225$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 26c | 3,037$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.35 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…41c9backed No | 1c | 2,847$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 4c | 2,680$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed No | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 11c | 2,479$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.83 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed Yes | 53c | 2,474$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 65c | 2,449$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 61c | 2,324$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.51 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…f646backed No | 2c | 2,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d2f2backed No | 17c | 2,175$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…a70abacked No | 34c | 2,068$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…432ebacked No | 13c | 1,980$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 6c | 1,904$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 1,900$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.54 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 32c | 1,812$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 41c | 1,786$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.18 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 7c | 1,764$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 17c | 1,680$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 12c | 1,670$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked No | 76c | 1,632$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…8cb0backed No | 10c | 1,581$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…ca2bbacked No | 14c | 1,556$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…2a7ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,543$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 69c | 1,530$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.77 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed No | 66c | 1,517$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,510$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.18 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 15c | 1,507$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.08 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 63c | 1,488$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.9 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed No | 3c | 1,470$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 39c | 1,455$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…bf17backed No | 4c | 1,431$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…1a27backed Yes | 49c | 1,382$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…2cc5backed No | 6c | 1,336$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 6c | 1,263$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 63c | 1,231$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 6c | 1,212$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,183$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 18c | 1,170$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 40c | 1,170$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.6 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,132$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…cb4cbacked No | 6c | 1,128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…e4adbacked No | 9c | 1,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 7c | 1,097$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 8c | 1,079$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 32c | 1,059$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…a556backed No | 2c | 1,057$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 12c | 1,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 78c | 1,000$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.27 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…89a4backed No | 17c | 941.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…9c96backed No | 68c | 901.75$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 43c | 860.36$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.12 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 58c | 835.66$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.22 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…0238backed No | 16c | 788.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 6c | 769$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed No | 12c | 752.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 7c | 702.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 53c | 691.25$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…9206backed No | 15c | 689.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…3f3dbacked No | 7c | 688.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 16c | 683.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked No | 16c | 643.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…d6e1backed No | 16c | 636$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 596$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed No | 17c | 587.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…fd85backed No | 51c | 580.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 30c | 558.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 30c | 550$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 8c | 547.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.