MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02d695c68fba8d4b0373bc6223f6cef83deca3891dcca3ddfc20f101a77ca9a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Twins, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Twins | 47c | 99,775$46,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,756.28 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Mariners | 55c | 54,524$29,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,554.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Mariners | 58c | 26,937$15,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Twins | 45c | 23,456$10,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555.17 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 43c | 21,154$9,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,063.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 53c | 21,110$11,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,921.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mariners | 61c | 14,732$8,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 41c | 14,124$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.28 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 57c | 11,112$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.27 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 58c | 10,208$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.75 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 53c | 6,611$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 41c | 6,323$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Twins | 49c | 6,127$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 53c | 5,299$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.59 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twins | 42c | 5,251$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.49 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 37c | 5,204$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.32 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Twins | 0c | 5,058$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners | 72c | 5,000$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.42 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 56c | 4,615$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 63c | 4,499$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,445$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Twins | 23c | 4,079$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.92 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 43c | 3,482$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.26 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Mariners | 54c | 2,886$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.03 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Twins | 48c | 2,798$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.78 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Twins | 45c | 2,420$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.2 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Twins | 41c | 2,400$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Twins | 44c | 2,050$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.99 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,961$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.61 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 54c | 1,532$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Mariners | 55c | 1,436$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,308$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Twins | 25c | 1,217$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 41c | 1,186$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Twins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mariners | 53c | 1,050$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Mariners | 75c | 974.48$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Twins | 49c | 959.18$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Mariners | 56c | 946.11$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.35 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Twins | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 54c | 899.84$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.93 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Mariners | 56c | 893.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Mariners | 57c | 876.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 60c | 863.06$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mariners | 57c | 854.12$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 46c | 842.78$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 39c | 722.31$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Twins | 48c | 622.29$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Mariners | 59c | 616.17$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Mariners | 80c | 585.41$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 53c | 579.64$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Twins | 50c | 577.57$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 50c | 530$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Mariners | 63c | 464.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 60c | 460$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Twins | 47c | 455.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Mariners | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…259fbacked Twins | 46c | 427.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twins | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Mariners | 56c | 380.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Twins | 46c | 378.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38f…7e3bbacked Mariners | 55c | 377.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…3f47backed Twins | 45c | 356.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…933dbacked Twins | 47c | 351.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Mariners | 53c | 330.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…1a05backed Twins | 46c | 327.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Twins | 46c | 320.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twins | 7c | 320$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…084abacked Mariners | 55c | 313.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…ae55backed Mariners | 55c | 306.8$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Mariners | 55c | 305.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Twins | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Twins | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Twins | 45c | 298.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…bcb4backed Mariners | 56c | 287.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Twins | 46c | 287.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…8b05backed Mariners | 55c | 286.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Mariners | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twins | 48c | 282.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Twins | 40c | 263.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Twins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Mariners | 75c | 255.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 56c | 252.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Mariners | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Twins | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mariners | 54c | 228$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 53c | 218.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 54c | 216.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…a3ffbacked Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…60eabacked Twins | 46c | 197.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.