Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0a6df409cf78b0b06460e7a168130dab5305686989fad84af8c219480111f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,361,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,408,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 54c | 652,779$352,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,278.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 46c | 542,879$249,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,184.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 46c | 197,738$90,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,822.51 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Yes | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 46c | 55,813$25,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,607.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 54c | 53,043$28,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,277.25 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 55c | 51,362$28,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.44 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 54c | 43,113$23,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,776.07 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 33,137$17,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,344.42 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 33,058$17,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,305.09 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…95d7backed Yes | 47c | 31,911$14,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 54c | 29,259$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.26 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 46c | 21,736$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.78 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 54c | 20,000$10,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,139.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 46c | 16,032$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,374.92 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 46c | 10,820$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 46c | 10,095$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.33 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 46c | 9,130$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 8,526$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.76 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 51c | 8,500$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 45c | 7,467$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 55c | 7,174$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.44 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 44c | 6,770$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 55c | 5,166$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.65 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 5,147$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.23 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.04 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 55c | 4,412$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.65 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…f584backed Yes | 46c | 4,196$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 49c | 4,154$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.2 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 54c | 3,919$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.79 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 25c | 3,806$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.89 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 77c | 3,747$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,236$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 46c | 2,991$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.73 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 43c | 2,959$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.05 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 46c | 2,882$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 44c | 2,385$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.38 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 43c | 2,115$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…cd3abacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 46c | 1,744$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,730$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Yes | 54c | 1,683$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 77c | 1,661$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.17 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 8c | 1,651$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 51c | 1,640$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.32 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 46c | 1,591$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 46c | 1,501$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 46c | 1,252$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 55c | 1,240$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 1,218$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.32 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 46c | 1,173$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.06 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked No | 55c | 1,118$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…3983backed Yes | 45c | 1,066$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,050$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 960.96$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.99 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 909.2$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.35 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 46c | 904.89$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…156abacked Yes | 45c | 882.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 55c | 880$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 45c | 860.46$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 40c | 846.92$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 48c | 834$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked No | 25c | 792.32$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9ac1backed Yes | 46c | 736.59$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…2168backed Yes | 32c | 728.63$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 58c | 663.15$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.76 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Yes | 46c | 658.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…ef38backed Yes | 46c | 656.31$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 39c | 652.68$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 47c | 628.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 46c | 605.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe364…8ce1backed Yes | 76c | 592.17$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 55c | 570.23$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 49c | 561$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 51c | 558.88$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 528.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…7397backed Yes | 45c | 520.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 45c | 505.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.