TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25a7…2f87backed No30c13,332$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.731546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes70c12,679$8,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.7210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No72c1,980$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No27c1,856$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.2928355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Yes41c1,783$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes51c1,612$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c1,564$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes24c1,522$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.089235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No41c1,438$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.620744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No37c1,036$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.585056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No20c1,033$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No66c993.28$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.596860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes26c968.58$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes27c793.63$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.357732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes27c734.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9317234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes66c705$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.724062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No48c670$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No74c608$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.922857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes49c587$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7111855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes28c507.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.269134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No15c500$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3703129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No58c499.86$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.065451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…e940backed No64c432.31$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No73c419.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.64240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3724630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1413449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1411052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11df…731fbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes64c355.16$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.863161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes27c345.92$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.521010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No72c332.71$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.554153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes70c331.66$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.57100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2a6…0dcebacked Yes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No73c275$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7511252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes62c242.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.261747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No74c227.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9313727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed No74c222.57$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.71855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1287652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Yes27c177.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.782433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked Yes37c162.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c160$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes61c147.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.543860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Yes59c146.76$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8610733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c8…2223backed Yes70c142.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.84850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes33c130$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.955438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes28c107.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1729146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes38c107.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4615060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes29c103.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.932937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x67b0…739bbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd765…f962backed Yes71c91.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e3…ba7cbacked Yes24c84.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bc…63dabacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0742240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes27c73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9354128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Yes69c72.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No74c57.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5726548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No72c57.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No74c54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9610044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6721…6962backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes27c51.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8512545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2388…2937backed No74c51.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Yes62c48.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No72c46.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5317958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes29c45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.067248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe816…1503backed Yes61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad36…84d3backed No30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No31c36.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes28c36.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4344036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.923033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked No69c34.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c30.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…a57ebacked No74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22864.3%18 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c2…a7d9backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No75c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.255259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No66c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.826251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed No74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No72c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.