Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2381bc14549097df4fba29ea1ead9514c36db21a3d72cd0b6b1e3e2d5a9c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 33c | 10,509$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 10,050$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 67c | 9,997$6,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.53 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 34c | 8,615$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.49 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 4,307$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 11c | 2,098$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 31c | 1,787$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 65c | 833.81$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 19c | 775$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 16c | 767$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…4ef1backed Yes | 15c | 741.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 18c | 571.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 73c | 550$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 39c | 512.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 7c | 430.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 15c | 355$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…402bbacked Yes | 15c | 342.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…4be0backed Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…595ebacked Yes | 16c | 268.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…4c2abacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…8970backed Yes | 16c | 256.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…8e5bbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 14c | 204.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 54c | 144.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 31c | 120.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 16c | 119.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…7eaabacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 39c | 100.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…ec88backed Yes | 33c | 80.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 35c | 64.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 31c | 44.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…bd13backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…f290backed No | 73c | 29.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…049cbacked No | 62c | 22.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.