Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fd27f5f8fb1a02f4ed1824ed9b0db2b5102d577a9ec4881de024b4c0ab1d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc001…d003backed No | 34c | 87,000$29,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,580 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…190bbacked Yes | 66c | 87,000$57,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,580 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 65c | 44,874$29,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,705.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 35c | 40,314$14,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,109.93 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes | 66c | 36,977$24,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,612.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 34c | 14,941$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 13c | 6,952$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.68 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 3c | 5,201$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 35c | 4,999$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.81 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 65c | 4,802$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 4,486$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.23 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 63c | 3,903$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 45c | 3,866$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.39 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 43c | 2,760$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.15 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed No | 35c | 2,750$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Yes | 64c | 2,750$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Yes | 72c | 1,995$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 34c | 1,764$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 65c | 1,715$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.38 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Yes | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed No | 35c | 1,535$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 37c | 1,353$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.58 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 65c | 1,228$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.89 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 34c | 1,153$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.33 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…774fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,083$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…c4e0backed No | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ebefbacked Yes | 54c | 942.35$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…0d28backed Yes | 64c | 649.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 28c | 620.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 65c | 584.62$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 34c | 567.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 56c | 530.29$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.52 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed No | 49c | 505.01$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 33c | 499.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 34c | 441$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 430.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 47c | 427.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 65c | 423.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 33c | 418.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed Yes | 73c | 364.65$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 72c | 353.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.78 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 353.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 36c | 334.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 34c | 299.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 70c | 283.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…7064backed No | 37c | 261.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…73acbacked No | 37c | 250.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 63c | 240.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…c0f1backed No | 37c | 232.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…cb2dbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 44c | 229.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…c1a7backed No | 38c | 215.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 35c | 212.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…b5c2backed No | 36c | 205$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…02efbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 56c | 185$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 185$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 44c | 180.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 65c | 170.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 64c | 155.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…3244backed No | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 76c | 150.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…eb69backed No | 37c | 144.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 80c | 144.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…5cdfbacked No | 36c | 144$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…1b02backed Yes | 66c | 137$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Yes | 65c | 135.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Yes | 67c | 127.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…b40bbacked Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.