Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb705e2c2410911b83394f80d59a301ed75c4e7a840617e8fb9ba8383a008863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 2,479$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 71c | 1,683$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.35 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 77c | 633.66$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 19c | 588.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 472.73$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 423.83$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…3d2fbacked Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…0658backed Yes | 21c | 331.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…5c11backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…da48backed Yes | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e688backed Yes | 21c | 279.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…595ebacked Yes | 22c | 268.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 77c | 231.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 40c | 226.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 80c | 206.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…3c71backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 26c | 172.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 159.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…92a0backed Yes | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked No | 79c | 132$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 117.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 79c | 98.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…496fbacked No | 79c | 97.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 21c | 95.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…5c5fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 37c | 89.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 23c | 81.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…7708backed No | 79c | 63.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…d89abacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…1202backed No | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…c100backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…cf96backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…45a4backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.