Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6669e7cda4b55ac014d5a9b3415ef724a818b4bcd6b2863f949df356ade34c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f1…11eebacked Yes | 6c | 52,864$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 2c | 22,888$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.71 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 4c | 16,761$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 15,687$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.87 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed No | 15c | 8,190$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,952.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001d…316dbacked No | 2c | 5,588$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,476.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,005$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Yes | 73c | 4,432$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 64c | 4,158$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917a…965abacked Yes | 2c | 3,999$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 25c | 2,609$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…0371backed Yes | 2c | 2,447$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…9bd8backed No | 7c | 2,044$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 69c | 1,994$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.37 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 8c | 1,974$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 8c | 1,974$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 1,750$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.75 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 7c | 1,292$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 5c | 1,131$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed No | 10c | 1,000$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.02 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…0843backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62c…65ffbacked No | 4c | 872.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0f…70d7backed No | 65c | 867.47$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…2b2cbacked No | 9c | 812.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +261%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…27eabacked No | 4c | 804.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 8c | 783.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +252%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked No | 7c | 723.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…1bf1backed No | 4c | 700.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +1,067.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 6c | 700$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.01 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 5c | 696.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.52 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…a431backed No | 73c | 655.69$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…b24dbacked No | 6c | 599.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +887.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 29c | 594.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed No | 7c | 590.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 10c | 552$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 42c | 500$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 7c | 500$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.35 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…31f2backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…e4e4backed No | 28c | 489.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…f674backed No | 28c | 486.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 36c | 471.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.45 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 10c | 381.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.32 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked No | 18c | 380$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed No | 8c | 379.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 7c | 352.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 7c | 350$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked No | 9c | 322.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 11c | 272.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Yes | 14c | 262.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…8975backed No | 63c | 246.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…da59backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +741.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 51c | 209.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 69cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…fdcabacked No | 9c | 208$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +975.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 6c | 202.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…fd85backed No | 8c | 192.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…68d9backed No | 13c | 179.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 34c | 160.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 76c | 150.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 75c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…b256backed No | 10c | 130.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +329.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…8ae2backed No | 10c | 129.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…bbc7backed No | 22c | 114.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…d521backed No | 12c | 94.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…9acbbacked No | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…1495backed No | 30c | 67.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…2a54backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…9b0dbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 36c | 43.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…3f3dbacked Yes | 75c | 20.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…e40dbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…8458backed Yes | 77c | 17.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.