Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfacbf39cb919ea9ad38445c7c52c7e0fb624c06210aa00c229d48d3b4acd10c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes | 26c | 12,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 74c | 11,594$8,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.32 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 10,469$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.48 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 8,786$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.05 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 8,515$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.04 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 73c | 6,526$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.02 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 24c | 2,018$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.61 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 28c | 1,092$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 676.11$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 429.72$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 77c | 325$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 72c | 284.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 28c | 252.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 26c | 238.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065a…7b78backed Yes | 27c | 224.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed No | 72c | 200.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…0ed2backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 71c | 166.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 28c | 159.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…f8f9backed No | 78c | 132.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…889cbacked Yes | 9c | 120.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 75c | 109.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 75c | 109.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed No | 73c | 106.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 25c | 105.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…cab4backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…a35ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 26c | 76.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…8b88backed No | 74c | 74.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…66d0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…5783backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…9e51backed No | 74c | 71.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…9af8backed No | 74c | 57.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…097dbacked Yes | 26c | 53.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 72c | 48.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed No | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…e789backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…d564backed No | 72c | 25.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked No | 74c | 23.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 22.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…b757backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-30?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.