Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f9dad76d2ab7e760c4335cc0a679787ff8807f8236976e0516d56650522e79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked No | 51c | 66,551$33,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,696.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 49c | 28,534$13,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,981.29 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 53c | 20,051$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 48c | 14,435$6,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.15 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…e0cfbacked Yes | 49c | 4,714$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 4,713$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.2 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 43c | 4,040$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.85 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 47c | 3,500$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.05 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 51c | 3,300$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.04 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 55c | 3,267$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed No | 55c | 2,914$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 70c | 2,218$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.73 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 47c | 1,434$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.11 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 50c | 1,386$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.83 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,232$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed Yes | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Yes | 10c | 922.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 50c | 909.1$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.55 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 46c | 864.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 49c | 831.22$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 776.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…31bdbacked Yes | 47c | 744.65$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 54c | 735.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…36e4backed Yes | 46c | 679.97$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…3ef5backed No | 55c | 677.03$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…0734backed Yes | 51c | 614.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…e9eabacked No | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 525.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 53c | 423.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…3338backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 47c | 393.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 364.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Yes | 47c | 352.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 3c | 343$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed Yes | 48c | 299.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Yes | 48c | 296.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 48c | 290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 44c | 273.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 47c | 213.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 78c | 210$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 49c | 203.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed No | 49c | 197$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 51c | 194.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…ca7ebacked Yes | 51c | 193.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 51c | 188.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 51c | 186.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 46c | 163.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 47c | 157.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 149.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…81ddbacked Yes | 47c | 136.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…e681backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 64c | 119.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 117.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 54c | 108.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 47c | 107.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b6…3809backed Yes | 49c | 102.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Yes | 47c | 98.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.7wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07e6…4e14backed Yes | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 50c | 98.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 51c | 86.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…cb80backed No | 50c | 84.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…f3c6backed No | 52c | 83.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 51c | 72.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 38c | 72.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…fd27backed No | 54c | 70.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…2e41backed No | 50c | 66.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ff3abacked No | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…e696backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 46c | 64.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…2bc2backed Yes | 46c | 62.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.