TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes52c12,857$6,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.2612848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No51c11,064$5,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,596.9910040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c10,344$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,513.8439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0007451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No50c8,049$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.125352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No35c6,959$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.4618758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No50c6,615$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.9317853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No51c4,680$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.59159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Yes49c4,440$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.41060%6 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+371.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No48c4,243$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.6836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf652…9351backed Yes50c3,555$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes50c3,220$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6107240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No34c2,864$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.3630754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No51c2,763$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.127346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes52c2,336$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.145343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes49c2,222$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yes49c2,222$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2212536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked No47c2,199$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes69c2,034$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.5924963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Yes50c2,001$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.693754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes50c1,903$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.036053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes50c1,375$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.52040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes48c1,289$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.28580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+87.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No53c1,233$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes49c986.47$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.13033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No51c950$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.9419645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c912.47$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No50c819.38$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2618950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No51c789$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.392860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes51c740.2$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed No15c693.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.445242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes50c693.9$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.861050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes48c641.31$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4816447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe23…3038backed Yes78c637.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd532…f70dbacked Yes48c624.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.942055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bb…c96bbacked Yes49c614.73$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No36c584.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.522133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No47c484.04$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.511132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked No52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes50c432.2$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.113847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No8c425$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20434449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82c…acb0backed Yes49c387.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.542245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes48c344.53$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.161618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No8c303.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2410137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes78c300$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.555959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1413545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes52c296.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.794344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No47c291$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7710850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e82…4d9ebacked No49c241$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-55.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed No28c239.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343e…04dabacked Yes49c238.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No51c233$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes49c229.72$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.063971.8%28 W · 11 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a06…77bbbacked Yes77c218.18$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…811abacked Yes53c210.62$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b58…443dbacked Yes49c203.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…8284backed No47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-54.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked Yes50c197.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes63c191.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.326735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6818650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…db98backed Yes50c166.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes48c163.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0419755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes51c160.2$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.064040%16 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed Yes52c154.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49b…b2e5backed Yes51c147.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.942642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No49c139.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.364656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x309b…474abacked Yes52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes49c134.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.554131.7%13 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No47c133.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7229136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba9…7ec3backed Yes50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe27…4baabacked Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2922547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e8…df6ebacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a5…3249backed Yes51c101.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.391464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5112862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3e…f3ccbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06af…3741backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.