NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71bbdbb0a1c03d9b3b58611c0e3cddd3afddd321b281cce1642c9e6769fb33a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Panthers | 54c | 6,707$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.83 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sharks | 46c | 6,662$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.37 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 2c | 2,218$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Sharks | 47c | 1,000$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 67c | 850$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 72c | 796.53$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Sharks | 19c | 761.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Sharks | 27c | 754.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 72c | 670.89$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 73c | 658.9$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 74c | 580$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 28c | 504.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 73c | 499.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 22c | 460.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Sharks | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sharks | 26c | 333.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Sharks | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks | 27c | 294.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…531dbacked Sharks | 28c | 217.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Panthers | 73c | 210.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks | 19c | 155.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Panthers | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Panthers | 74c | 135.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 78c | 125.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…447dbacked Sharks | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Sharks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Sharks | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers | 72c | 98.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…c8dabacked Panthers | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b25…9e52backed Panthers | 73c | 90.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…daafbacked Sharks | 28c | 79.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a8babacked Panthers | 73c | 74.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…e735backed Panthers | 73c | 73.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…41f9backed Panthers | 73c | 73.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e18…e005backed Panthers | 73c | 71.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Panthers | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…ffecbacked Sharks | 28c | 69.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…12e8backed Panthers | 74c | 68.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…6511backed Sharks | 28c | 68.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb64…b33dbacked Sharks | 27c | 66.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…28b3backed Sharks | 27c | 65.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…0fbebacked Panthers | 73c | 64.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…23acbacked Panthers | 74c | 62.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f7f4backed Sharks | 28c | 61.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks | 27c | 60.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…bae1backed Panthers | 73c | 54.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers | 72c | 53.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 72c | 51.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Sharks | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…3fc2backed Panthers | 74c | 27.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Panthers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…97b3backed Panthers | 75c | 21.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed Panthers | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…30fdbacked Panthers | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.