TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Al Hilal beat RB Salzburg?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb59…48a1backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No48c9,974$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,186.488740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes53c7,700$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1182055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes52c6,213$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.699159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No49c6,196$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.5912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No47c5,645$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.2117852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No47c4,469$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.2718758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes59c3,400$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0063666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes53c3,189$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No43c2,814$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.8130754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes29c2,181$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.5438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes51c2,135$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.8328543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes53c1,698$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No48c1,515$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.7318950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4837…9103backed Yes53c1,463$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x273a…840abacked Yes62c1,152$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes53c977.32$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.9830657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes52c963.15$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.843033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No48c920.04$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4483745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes54c793.73$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.615052%26 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c786$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes30c670.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.823426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82c…acb0backed Yes53c661.11$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.392245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No47c556.27$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7338048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes52c547.48$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x705a…1678backed Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes53c510$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.34337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes50c467$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.55343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes53c417.23$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1313847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe560…11f0backed Yes56c400.77$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21211132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008450%42 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c384.8$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a8…9a18backed Yes59c384.2$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No47c368.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed No49c353.39$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes56c341.02$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.975764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes52c339.03$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.37642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17412862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15925450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No43c270$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No48c260.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.424367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes9c259.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes54c253.7$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1375743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked No44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes53c213$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.892445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes54c209.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No48c181$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a77…3e50backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…b084backed No48c177.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.082166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes51c153.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.235352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No47c124$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.729346.2%43 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes52c113.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2290%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes52c103.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.958243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No49c103$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5322547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd882…0c09backed Yes60c103$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.441662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes52c101$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.57950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Yes58c92.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes26c88.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.955628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No47c86.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6324047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…3487backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes54c73.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.892433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked No51c68.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.351241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccf…929bbacked Yes54c64.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106229%18 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked Yes17c60.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No49c50.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.825829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.520667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a12…d25dbacked Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8e…c096backed No44c43.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.563548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Yes27c40.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44619.6%9 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3500…915bbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.520241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4116…330abacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39b9…e58fbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf861…4864backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc281…7ebbbacked Yes56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2928357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95b…1692backed Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67552%39 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bec…56d0backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33f…fedbbacked No49c27.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.242962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.