TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11fc…dc48backed Yes26c100,145$26,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,534.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No75c35,987$26,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,996.759159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb59…48a1backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No75c14,737$11,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,684.333551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No73c11,523$8,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.176058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c10,872$7,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.4636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No74c10,266$7,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No76c10,250$7,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4607342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No73c9,965$7,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.0218758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No73c8,046$5,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.3717852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c7,881$5,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.2638048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c4,100$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75012359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No75c2,700$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes20c2,345$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3938935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c2,187$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No75c1,899$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0130657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes27c1,877$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No80c1,577$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes19c1,092$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.423426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes25c1,056$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c1,025$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ab…13abbacked Yes25c858.08$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5270…4c8bbacked No76c599.92$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes25c457$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2524047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No75c440$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9634449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe51e…0079backed Yes25c396.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes18c369.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.64835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes29c363.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ef…b4d9backed Yes19c363.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x249f…5981backed Yes19c350$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.62339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c345.26$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1946956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes19c299.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.888633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef73…bc42backed Yes25c298.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed No75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.53372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes25c252$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.510850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No77c250$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.54161%25 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes17c249.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Yes21c232.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e30…1072backed Yes25c220.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes18c207.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.176056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No75c204$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Yes23c187.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.733754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404619.6%9 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes19c156.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes22c151$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.256225.8%16 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No75c145.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7920667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes27c140.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382825%7 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…f1f8backed Yes16c138.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1424455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3318650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc281…7ebbbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No74c118$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.683076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a54…42f1backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6815966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes26c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4811132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes25c96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b97…15d7backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed No76c87.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed No80c84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x883c…f8c2backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x157e…2efbbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8e…c096backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No75c62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5628357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes25c59.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes20c54.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes24c52.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes24c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…92b8backed Yes25c48.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.828543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4884…9b0abacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa007…2bd4backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x609e…2da9backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d70…1abbbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec4…e6a5backed No76c30.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f48…c6adbacked No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed No76c24.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.782157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.646376.2%48 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed No73c14.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.