Champions League · resolved market
Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd70578250d49baf29e14a85b33dee186f2bd14fdad1fb7439c594496b57975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 37c | 21,877$8,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,744.95 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes | 65c | 11,017$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 54c | 9,351$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.86 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 53c | 7,629$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.08 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 59c | 6,737$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.67 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 59c | 6,607$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.13 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 4,911$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.27 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Yes | 62c | 4,401$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 42c | 4,267$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.76 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 42c | 3,047$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.85 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Yes | 49c | 2,990$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed No | 59c | 2,657$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 59c | 2,395$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.95 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 11c | 2,150$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked No | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 58c | 866.87$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.15 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 858.43$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.54 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 58c | 821.98$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.14 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 41c | 813.48$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 604$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 41c | 549.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 42c | 443.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 36c | 402.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 39c | 384$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 305.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…0d3fbacked Yes | 58c | 288.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 66c | 287.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…e181backed Yes | 29c | 216.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 36c | 168.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 42c | 154.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 57c | 127.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed No | 42c | 127.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 59c | 124.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…ae19backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 112.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16d0backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Yes | 58c | 69.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…d2e3backed Yes | 41c | 60.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 37c | 53.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…2f74backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…9b72backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed No | 45c | 34.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b9…e58fbacked Yes | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…14fabacked Yes | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Yes | 42c | 27.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked No | 44c | 27.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 57c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 49c | 25.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked No | 61c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 60c | 22.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? this page
- Will Al Ain beat Wydad AC? Yes won
- Will Wydad AC vs. Al Ain end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.