Champions League · resolved market
Will Al Ain beat Wydad AC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f59d14a5e7990a35750fa826193a81aea6abb25e6ffed7478fac87c73d2be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 32c | 8,113$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.55 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed No | 36c | 4,650$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 8c | 3,616$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 3,511$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.35 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 3,103$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.31 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 62c | 3,074$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.89 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 68c | 2,454$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed No | 44c | 2,300$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 41c | 1,021$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.9 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 34c | 1,010$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 35c | 463.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 434.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.74 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 352$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed No | 23c | 343.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 23c | 185$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9191backed No | 70c | 159.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 141$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 130.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 34c | 101.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e157backed Yes | 34c | 97.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9951backed No | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…d25dbacked No | 67c | 79.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 20c | 50.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…4d01backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yes | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ain beat Wydad AC? this page
- Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? No won
- Will Wydad AC vs. Al Ain end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.