Champions League · resolved market
Will Wydad AC vs. Al Ain end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393809fd76f23baa99013f5096a1686c73f0abae436ccb888f58ecedadf2a8aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 27c | 195$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 164$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 64c | 65.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Yes | 27c | 55.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 67c | 48.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 75c | 47.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 40.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 71c | 39.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 73c | 38.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wydad AC vs. Al Ain end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ain beat Wydad AC? Yes won
- Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.