TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over52c80,721$41,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,739.811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c37,215$17,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,352.0537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c11,065$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.581,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c9,702$4,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over49c7,240$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Under49c6,926$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under49c5,877$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.3935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c5,138$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.521,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under49c4,943$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.933554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over48c4,157$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.2228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c3,385$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.253,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,114$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under48c2,958$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.2319650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,466$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under49c2,404$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.1537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c2,323$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.4163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Over50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.994035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Under53c1,994$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c1,898$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.092,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c1,817$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.3790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c1,741$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.231,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c1,741$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.1258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under57c1,645$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.521,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c1,433$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c1,382$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.751,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c1,286$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.461,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,213$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c1,154$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.258948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c1,109$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under54c1,008$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…e97bbacked Over49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Over49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed Over49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c945.22$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over50c859.63$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c819.26$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c712.07$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c629.34$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c618.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.621,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under49c602.53$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c592.64$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under48c588.51$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.6116048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under51c577.11$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7822047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c524.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c488.39$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.332,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c478.96$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under52c466.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1219258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c463.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under48c462.48$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c390.87$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c389.54$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c386.91$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4523445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c382.3$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5111648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under51c378.17$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9513153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c363.5$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b3…3519backed Under56c296.95$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…6c8fbacked Over45c294.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over52c288.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9910854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under79c273.53$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c259.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.571,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over22c215.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c199.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over49c192.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c183.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.921,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c174.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over17c159.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Under50c144.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.012937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over17c142.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Over50c135.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.96550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c133.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under52c121.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under52c116.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7310345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under48c115.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.935752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c113.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over53c112.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7723549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over48c103.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1211143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under52c103.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.578439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under51c98.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3147738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Under68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.444242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c97.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.881,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6214649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3810657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Over50c94.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.066741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.