NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2b3e59780eb192eac6041c1235d02747273d806db54ebed48102b1364db9bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 59c | 5,487$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.53 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 4,122$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.74 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 48c | 2,715$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.98 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 1,939$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.54 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 1,820$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,194$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,015$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 48c | 930.05$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.62 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 537.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 44c | 491.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 6c | 487.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 405.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…63b5backed Over | 52c | 311.76$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…384abacked Under | 49c | 305.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 261.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 100.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 56c | 76.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 60c | 69.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 58.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 73c | 47.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 76c | 41.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 47c | 40.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…18bfbacked Over | 52c | 36.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 31.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 27.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 65c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 71c | 25.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 75c | 25.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 63c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 60c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 60c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 65c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 48c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 65c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 53c | 19.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 68c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 63c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 69c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Under | 79c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Pacers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Ben Sheppard: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Ben Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Kobe Brown: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.