NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612cb0f66fd9142c045e4e7ca95fcac2988bb1754b12d83f46e75317908fa450

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,499 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	26c	780.87$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.87	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	423.78$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.55	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	56c	302$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.88	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	50c	218.8$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.81	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	214.3$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.86	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Over	50c	175.4$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Under	58c	168.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	337	49.3%166 W · 171 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under	53c	128.54$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.51	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	44c	111.63$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under	51c	106.4$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.56	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	50c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	49c	96.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	47c	96.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	23c	86.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under	60c	71.1$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	54c	67.78$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under	51c	64.48$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under	50c	57.66$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.83	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over	49c	49.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over	45c	37.72$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	387	36.4%141 W · 246 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Over	44c	35.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	56c	35.06$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.42	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	45c	34.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under	52c	34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.26	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over	44c	32.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	44c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	49c	23.27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	50c	22.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893b…e888backed Under	55c	19.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.76	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5cd…4742backed Under	55c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event