NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f61108fdb7ee64f8e0b23bfe5c879ce4f38d96832a4b95fa83ae0a2c052acdb

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pacersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,729 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	45c	1,031$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.11	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed 76ers	44c	804.19$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.38	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers	56c	794.22$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.46	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Pacers	57c	493.46$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.19	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pacers	51c	457.23$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.14	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers	43c	174.4$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.64	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers	56c	170.98$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.23	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pacers	52c	154.4$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.17	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers	46c	135.88$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked 76ers	44c	135.07$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.43	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers	44c	119.69$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.24	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers	53c	97.18$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.67	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Pacers	56c	87.43$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.76	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Pacers	57c	84.76$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.44	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pacers	59c	67.64$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.78	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers	50c	45.56$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.58	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Pacers	55c	43.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.66	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed 76ers	45c	40.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed 76ers	36c	30.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed 76ers	44c	24.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	68	25%17 W · 51 L	-12.6wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked 76ers	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa517…a62dbacked Pacers	54c	23.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.98	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+4.7wins	+0.26per pick	52cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked 76ers	50c	21.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers	50c	21.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked 76ers	50c	21.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers	50c	21.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed 76ers	50c	21.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event