NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628f10f8a50ea58ba150200448ddf0ce2f7fdc2bc48095bc9510a822b29e311c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 19,229$9,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,893.51 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 49c | 7,689$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.53 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…fc5abacked Under | 49c | 7,611$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 6,762$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Under | 48c | 4,225$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,412$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,700$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.5 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.72 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 990$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 48c | 944.6$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.19 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 816.07$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 47c | 639.15$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 618.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 499.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 44c | 367.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…8863backed Over | 56c | 320.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 300.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 279.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 176.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 168.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 159.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 49c | 134.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 125.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 53c | 98.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Under | 52c | 86.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 79.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Over | 52c | 78.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 51c | 56.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 50.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 39.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 27.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 51c | 21.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 51c | 21.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Pacers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Ben Sheppard: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Ben Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Kobe Brown: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.