TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers3c20,731$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.041,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pacers47c20,013$9,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,606.7272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers48c19,801$9,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.6548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed 76ers52c10,457$5,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,438.7626648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers52c6,975$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers49c2,609$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.1832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers51c2,503$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.611,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers49c2,122$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.381,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers41c2,119$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed 76ers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0409447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked 76ers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers51c1,747$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked 76ers52c1,633$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.5864651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pacers48c1,612$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.3434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers32c1,158$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.591,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed 76ers53c1,035$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.414254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aec…65fabacked Pacers49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed 76ers53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f359backed 76ers52c879.12$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers53c843.96$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.32,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers51c840.53$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.011,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers48c800.55$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers53c779.42$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers49c772.89$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers53c761.28$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Pacers51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0112548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers53c752.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers53c739.76$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers53c729.11$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.6771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed 76ers68c724.66$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.343269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed 76ers53c723.77$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked 76ers52c721.21$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Pacers48c710.74$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers53c705.33$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.051,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed 76ers15c680$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked 76ers53c626.92$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.271560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed 76ers53c584.71$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.910252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked 76ers52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3627746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed 76ers53c550.06$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers53c539.07$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked 76ers52c499.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pacers51c498.15$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked 76ers53c458.38$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9419258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers53c453.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.592,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked 76ers53c437.31$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.777656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers28c423.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.853,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed 76ers52c419.2$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed 76ers50c419.1$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Pacers48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.917337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers52c392.1$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked 76ers51c381.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed 76ers52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.243237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed 76ers53c372.22$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pacers61c369.64$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.081,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed 76ers53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed 76ers53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.361947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed 76ers52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked 76ers51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed 76ers54c291.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3c1…af27backed 76ers53c284.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa7…d0babacked Pacers48c275.14$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed 76ers45c209$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.427248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05d…b831backed Pacers50c208.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers52c207$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pacers52c191.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed 76ers53c188.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Pacers49c183.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8324849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 76ers53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed 76ers53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1847357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…fcd1backed 76ers53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers52c172.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f14…73a3backed 76ers53c169.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.821866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers51c159.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 76ers53c157.41$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.741,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Pacers30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Pacers30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10512637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed 76ers53c149.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed 76ers52c141.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers48c121.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pacers48c117.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed 76ers53c111$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8317740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77f…6039backed 76ers38c104.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.752944.8%13 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed 76ers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5225559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Pacers47c98.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed 76ers51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked 76ers52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pacers49c93.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.761,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked 76ers53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked 76ers53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed 76ers53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5925348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked 76ers53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked 76ers48c80.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers51c72.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.811,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed 76ers58c65.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8811059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed 76ers53c60.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed 76ers51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.611250%56 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed 76ers53c58.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.985248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.