TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pacers52c153,404$79,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,099.5872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed 76ers47c41,209$19,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,368.467650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed 76ers49c22,423$10,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,987.185947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers48c10,724$5,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed 76ers48c10,092$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,84416640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8258…bfbcbacked 76ers49c10,015$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers52c9,854$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,729.871,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers48c8,938$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,247.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers48c8,839$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,242.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers49c7,989$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.441,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Pacers52c7,322$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.2332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed 76ers49c7,087$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.3924847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers49c5,539$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.3221943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Pacers51c4,286$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.234548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers49c4,155$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.7438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed 76ers49c4,020$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.8238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked 76ers49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers52c3,955$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.5556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed 76ers49c3,955$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.838647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers48c3,529$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers49c3,270$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.4270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed 76ers48c3,126$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.5414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc14d…69acbacked 76ers49c2,763$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers52c2,673$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers46c2,669$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.171,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers40c2,667$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.242,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers41c2,384$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Pacers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98019937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers48c1,963$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.1431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers48c1,912$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.332,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers53c1,652$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.472,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pacers52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…f29dbacked 76ers49c1,402$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers55c1,370$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.441,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pacers55c1,369$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.0444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed 76ers49c1,230$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.787143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers49c1,170$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3316946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers50c1,145$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers54c1,107$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.063,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed 76ers47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked 76ers49c1,066$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5119745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pacers48c1,013$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7459140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Pacers52c1,005$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.563145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pacers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked 76ers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked 76ers48c999.96$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed 76ers49c999.43$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7210252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed 76ers49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0262948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked 76ers49c959.71$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2617349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers49c932.97$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.162,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers47c923$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.8156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers53c894.97$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.641,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers49c838.83$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0318343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 76ers18c836.77$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5210239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed 76ers41c831.37$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.494652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked Pacers52c787.55$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Pacers51c780.62$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.56150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers48c696.4$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers49c685.31$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers51c648.07$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.21,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers25c608.3$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Pacers52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9513547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed 76ers49c549.94$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers47c539.11$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers34c526.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed 76ers48c525$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers48c523.26$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed 76ers47c512.46$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aec…65fabacked Pacers52c496.17$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed 76ers49c492.48$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked 76ers49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers47c458.91$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Pacers52c442.46$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3814248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers54c418.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked 76ers47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6436248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed 76ers47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed 76ers48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked 76ers49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8818643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pacers53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed 76ers47c387.28$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0211451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed 76ers48c381.09$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Pacers52c351.4$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6729848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers48c348.51$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.891,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d16…c595backed Pacers56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Pacers47c309$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7723251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers43c303.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed 76ers49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Pacers52c289.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9610753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers49c286.68$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers48c272.4$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.971,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Pacers52c255.43$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.612857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf1…5831backed Pacers54c250.3$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.14875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers49c242.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dad…7704backed 76ers49c242.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.