NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8eb0a43dddba7c44d8eebebb0713e97f6aa62e84e1933799e5ba39dfa0012f0

Rebuilt 54 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	52c	5,894$3,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,091.84	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	51c	5,823$2,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,973.69	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	49c	3,662$1,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,882.87	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under	51c	3,420$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,675.76	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,607$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	50c	983.78$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.6	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	47c	862.1$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.92	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	49c	447.99$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.47	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	365.74$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.46	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	48c	316.31$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.48	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	53c	250.09$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.32	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under	51c	236.31$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.95	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	50c	215.98$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.99	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Under	51c	142.74$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.94	150	55.3%83 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	137.18$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.34	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over	52c	126.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.78	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	48c	115.67$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.75	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over	57c	105.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.91	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over	49c	98.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	43c	93.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.52	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	49c	67.2$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.24	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over	53c	43.73$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over	50c	42.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over	53c	42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over	50c	39.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	52c	38.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under	48c	30.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.01	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb719…b584backed Under	51c	27.11$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over	49c	25.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	176	52.3%92 W · 84 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under	50c	23.12$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event