F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab0e6fb363643b73296b62a3bb7766fd8cf25e7bb4d165974626a4fcd3b8e1da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa733…cd61backed No | 36c | 59,934$21,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,576.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…1659backed Yes | 64c | 59,934$38,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,576.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…c547backed No | 57c | 30,425$17,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,342.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…adb0backed Yes | 43c | 30,425$13,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,342.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…4e27backed No | 60c | 530$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…eb8abacked Yes | 40c | 495$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…0e3bbacked Yes | 40c | 425$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a2fbbacked No | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 50c | 141.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…3cf2backed No | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…893abacked No | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…866bbacked No | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…2aa7backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…a97bbacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked No | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…1349backed Yes | 65c | 46.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 39c | 43.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 40c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…819dbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will McLaren have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Williams have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.