Champions League · resolved market
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4880315777d86694cd95757f87ed41efd7262d62cbedb2bba69468686bdf6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 56c | 37,094$20,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,934.95 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 43c | 34,031$14,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,320.17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 44c | 18,631$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,346.86 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 58c | 14,087$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.5 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 47c | 12,561$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.65 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 57c | 11,274$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.94 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 43c | 10,603$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 56c | 9,294$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.21 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 8,721$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.51 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 43c | 5,500$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 58c | 4,133$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.39 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Yes | 44c | 3,705$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 43c | 2,945$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.36 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 58c | 2,583$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.34 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 47c | 2,520$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 43c | 2,050$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 70c | 1,883$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.81 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 1,777$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 47c | 1,419$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.14 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 44c | 1,406$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 42c | 1,252$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.67 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 54c | 924.74$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked No | 23c | 744.13$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 568.56$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.96 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 45c | 522$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…40d2backed Yes | 43c | 461.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 45c | 451.61$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Yes | 43c | 420.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…24babacked Yes | 43c | 393.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Yes | 46c | 372.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 67c | 365$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 45c | 293.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 44c | 283.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Yes | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 52c | 253$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 52c | 225.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6b39backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 46c | 213$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 44c | 201.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 56c | 186.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 147$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 44c | 114.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 110.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 47c | 106.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…4f90backed Yes | 46c | 88.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 43c | 88.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…a159backed Yes | 45c | 83.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked Yes | 43c | 74.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 44c | 63.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…b990backed Yes | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…2a8bbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 49c | 49.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aba…4b7abacked Yes | 51c | 47.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Yes | 52c | 47.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…ef77backed Yes | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 46c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 44c | 40.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…5207backed Yes | 43c | 35.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 45c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…1d8cbacked Yes | 49c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…3d4bbacked Yes | 44c | 24.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed No | 58c | 24.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?this page
- Will Botafogo vs. Seattle Sounders end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders beat Botafogo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.