Champions League · resolved market
Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe656907d12fbf22101208a6f314c0909a0035a01348959ec6b6e5333b5a16fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 46c | 18,188$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,869.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 54c | 6,523$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.53 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…8d19backed Yes | 48c | 2,976$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 2,850$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.63 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 53c | 2,659$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.17 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 48c | 2,060$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.6 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.94 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 50c | 1,995$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.42 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 49c | 1,507$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.75 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 54c | 1,400$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 37c | 1,056$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.75 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 52c | 675.22$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.11 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 62c | 645$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…9cf3backed Yes | 38c | 520$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 41c | 481.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…7932backed Yes | 38c | 480$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Yes | 50c | 462$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 77c | 388.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 40c | 359.65$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…314fbacked No | 62c | 325$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…f13cbacked No | 62c | 320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 312$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 292$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 51c | 271.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cc…9b5dbacked No | 62c | 270$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 53c | 265$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 47c | 232.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 46c | 159.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 48c | 146.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…2fa0backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 14c | 103.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…698bbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 65c | 46.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 45c | 43.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 41c | 36.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…a159backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…23cfbacked Yes | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 52c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?this page
- Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Mamelodi Sundowns?No won
- Will Ulsan Hyundai vs. Mamelodi Sundowns end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.