Champions League · resolved market
Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Mamelodi Sundowns?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb69e88a6207dae0f03eaad166cb20ba960ea6a0b047fee309135c7a8af7fba1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 74c | 3,683$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 78c | 3,063$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.86 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 1,531$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.81 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 75c | 1,207$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,079$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 880$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 27c | 845.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 839.31$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 28c | 704.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 576.64$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 24c | 459$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 23c | 435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 166.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 146.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 140.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 23c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 125.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 69.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 30c | 55.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 75c | 43.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…95aebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…3d37backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Mamelodi Sundowns?this page
- Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?Yes won
- Will Ulsan Hyundai vs. Mamelodi Sundowns end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.